BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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North Carolina

Class: 1A Class Rank: 66 Conference: Atlantic Coast Conference Record: (1-7) Overall: (3-9) Overall Strength =  154.22

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 09/02/2017 Home    L   151.65  30  35   1A  50 (  5-  7) California             -2.57     -2.43                      
  2 09/09/2017 Home    L * 153.74  35  47   1A  22 (  8-  5) Louisville             -0.48    -11.52                      
  3 09/16/2017 Away    W   166.14  53  23   1A 120 (  5-  7) Old Dominion           11.92     18.08                      
  4 09/23/2017 Home    L * 151.50  17  27   1A  40 (  7-  6) Duke                   -2.72     -7.28                      
  5 09/30/2017 Away    L * 140.04   7  33   1A  36 (  5-  6) Georgia Tech          -14.18    -11.82                      
  6 10/07/2017 Home    L   151.35  10  33   1A  10 ( 10-  3) Notre Dame             -2.87    -20.13                      
  7 10/14/2017 Home    L * 144.44  14  20   1A  68 (  6-  7) Virginia               -9.78      3.78                      
  8 10/21/2017 Away    L * 121.85   7  59   1A  17 (  9-  4) Virginia Tech         -32.37    -19.63                      
  9 10/28/2017 Home    L * 162.13  19  24   1A  16 ( 10-  3) Miami FL                7.91    -12.91                      
 10 11/09/2017 Away    W * 163.91  34  31   1A  51 (  5-  7) Pittsburgh              9.69     -6.69                      
 11 11/18/2017 Home    W   184.77  65  10   1B  41 (  7-  5) Western Carolina       30.55     24.45                      
 12 11/25/2017 Away    L * 159.12  21  33   1A  21 (  9-  4) North Carolina St       4.90    -16.90                      
      Averages             154.22  26.0 31.2

Best game:  184.77 = 55 point win over Western Carolina
Worst game: 121.85 = 52 point loss to Virginia Tech
Team stdev:  15.44